← All Markets
Market Intelligence

Hot Springs Market Reports & Trends

Hot Springs, Arkansas real estate market data. Median prices, trends, inventory, and what's driving the market in 2026.

Top 10

The Best of Hot Springs Market Reports & Trends in Hot Springs

Our picks for the most notable opportunities, areas, and properties in this market.

01
MedianUp 8% YoY

Median Home Price: $260K (2026 est.)

Hot Springs median home price has risen steadily from $180K in 2020 to an estimated $260K in 2026. Appreciation has averaged 6–8% annually over the past 5 years.

02
DOMDown from 65

Average Days on Market: 42

Homes are selling faster as demand increases. Properly priced homes in desirable areas sell in under 30 days. Overpriced homes still sit — pricing remains the key variable.

03
SupplySeller's market

Inventory: 3.2 Months

Anything under 6 months of inventory is a seller's market. Hot Springs has been in a seller's market since 2021. New construction hasn't kept pace with demand.

04
$/sqftUp from $95 (2020)

Price Per Square Foot: $128

Price per square foot has increased 35% since 2020. Lake and luxury properties trade at $150–$250/sqft. Starter homes at $80–$110/sqft.

05
Hot$400K–$800K

Hottest Segment: Lake Hamilton

Lake Hamilton waterfront is the hottest segment with the fastest appreciation. Limited supply and growing out-of-state demand drive prices. Multiple offers are common.

06
Volume60% of sales

Most Active Price Range: $150K–$300K

The $150K–$300K range accounts for the majority of transactions. This is where first-time buyers, retirees, and investors are most active.

07
TrendGrowing 12%/yr

Retirement Migration Trend

Retirement relocations to Hot Springs are growing 12% annually. Top origin markets: Texas, California, Illinois, Florida, and the Midwest. This trend is accelerating.

08
Airbnb$150 avg/night

STR Market Performance

Short-term rental properties average $150/night with 65% annual occupancy. Peak season (March–October) sees 80%+ occupancy. STR investment demand is a major market driver.

09
Supply Gap40% below demand

New Construction Shortage

New home construction is running approximately 40% below demand. Permit activity is increasing but builders face labor and material constraints. This supports existing home values.

10
Outlook5–7% projected

Forecast: Continued Appreciation

Market fundamentals support continued 5–7% annual appreciation. Growing retirement migration, limited inventory, and increasing national awareness of Hot Springs drive the outlook.

Buyer's Guide

What You Need to Know

Essential tips for navigating this market in Hot Springs.

💡

Reading Market Data

Focus on median price (not average), days on market, months of inventory, and price per square foot. These four metrics tell you whether it's a buyer's or seller's market and where prices are heading.

🛠

When to Buy

In Hot Springs, the best buying opportunities come in November–February when competition is lowest. Sellers listing in winter are often more motivated. Lake properties are best bought off-season.

💰

Seasonal Patterns

Spring (March–June) has the most listings and buyers. Summer is strong for lake properties. Fall sees reduced inventory. Winter is the best time for deals. Plan your strategy accordingly.

Appreciation Forecasting

Hot Springs has averaged 6–8% annual appreciation since 2020. Projections suggest 5–7% going forward. Waterfront and golf properties may outperform. But forecasts aren't guarantees — always buy based on current value.

📈

Neighborhood Variations

Hot Springs isn't one market. Lake Hamilton appreciates fastest. HSV is steady. Downtown fluctuates with tourism. South Hot Springs and rural areas lag but offer the best investment margins.

🔒

Data Sources

MLS data from the Hot Springs Board of REALTORS is the most reliable local source. Zillow, Redfin, and Realtor.com provide supplementary data but can lag 30–60 days behind actual market conditions.

FAQ

Common Questions

Is Hot Springs a buyer's or seller's market?

Seller's market as of 2026, with 3.2 months of inventory (under 6 months = seller's market). Well-priced homes receive offers quickly. Buyers should be pre-approved and ready to act.

How fast are prices rising?

6–8% annually over the past 5 years. The median has gone from $180K (2020) to an estimated $260K (2026). Waterfront and luxury segments are appreciating faster.

What's the best value in the market right now?

The $150K–$250K range offers the best value for owner-occupants. For investors, south Hot Springs and Malvern area properties offer the highest cap rates and appreciation potential.

Will prices keep going up?

Fundamentals support continued appreciation: growing retirement migration, limited inventory, increasing national awareness, and undersupply of new construction. Barring a national recession, 5–7% annual growth is projected.

Where can I find current market data?

The Hot Springs Board of REALTORS publishes monthly market statistics. Realtor.com and Zillow provide supplementary data. For the most current local data, work with an active local agent.

Get Connected

Interested in Hot Springs Market Reports & Trends?

Tell us what you're looking for and we'll connect you with the right local expert.

Your information is never shared. We respond within hours.